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great piece. epistemic humility indeed. i have one teeny tiny nit: Y2k isn't an example of a failed prediction. Widespread disruptions were avoided precisely because an army of programmers foresaw (not predicted ha!) the issue and harangued their bosses with horror stories to convince them to put money and time towards fixing it.

It's actually a pretty inspirational story of humans cooperating across industries to solve a potentially disastrous issue.

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